New Delhi: Former Supreme Court judge, Markandey Katju, who recently tendered an unconditional apology before the apex court has said that UP will prove BJP and Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Waterloo. The former judge who remains in news for his controversial comments is not going to be cowed down by the humble and unconditional apology that he tendered before the Supreme Court.
Markandey Katju is known for his frank comments that usually don’t go down well with many people. He is obviously no fan of either Prime Minister Narendra Modi or the Bhartiya Janta Party.
The renowned jurist has predicted a massive win for the incumbent Chief Minister Akhilesh Yadav. This is despite the fact that the chief minister’s party is on the verge of a vertical split that will obviously see the division of its Dalit vote base.
While writing on his Facebook page that has hundreds of thousands of followers on social media giany, he predicts a landslide for Akhilesh. “My own prediction is a clear majority for the Samajwadi Party led by Akhilesh Yadav, possibly even a two third majority, and the BJP will be routed, getting even less than the BSP seats,” says he .
He says there were reasons for his assessment. “In most states, including UP, voting is largely on the basis of caste and religion. The exception to this is when there is a wave, e.g. the Modi wave in favour of BJP in the May 2014 Lok Sabha elections. Presently there is no wave, and so voting will be largely ( over 90% ) on the traditional basis of caste and religion”.
He said that demonetization was a huge blunder for the BJP and its consequences will be all too visible in UP elections. “Demonetisation was perhaps done to create a wave, but it has not succeeded in doing so…the common man, small and middle level businessmen, farmers,etc have been hard hit.”
He said that instead of increase in BJP vote bank there will be a substantial in its vote share. He added that the saffron party would only get 26 per cent of the votes, which is lesser than the required figured of 30 per cent. He also said that BSP’s vote share would account to approximately 22 per cent and since Congress “hardly has any vote bank in UP”, the benefit would be reaped by Akhilesh-led Samajwadi Party. “After the recent dramatic developments in UP and emergence of Akhilesh Yadav as the sole leader of SP it seems clear that the Muslims will vote unitedly for the SP led by Akhilesh, and will not split their votes. This is because the party under Akhilesh has emerged as a new party, a new SP without the tarnished image of the old.”
He said Akhilesh has come out as a man of clean image. “Till now Akhilesh was perceived as a Chief Minister whose hands were tied by his father, uncle, etc. and he was not a free man. But now he is free of those constraints. Moreover, Akhilesh is a young modern minded man ( he has an M.Tech. degree from Australia ) and has a clean image”, said he. The state with 200 million people votes in seven phases between February 11 and March 8, will likely see a four-sided battle. While the ruling SP is mired in a deep factional crisis, BJP and BSP look to coming back to power in the politically crucial state. There are also reports that if Akhilesh splits the SP vertically, an alliance with the Congress might be in the offing. Nonetheless the surveys conducted in the state have predicted hung house with no party getting the magic figure.